Deadlock on climate action helps no-one
Blog Post | Blog of Christine Milne
Friday 22nd January 2010, 11:17am
by ChristineMilne in
On December 2 last year, after being blind-sided by the unexpected elevation of Tony Abbott to the Liberal Party leadership, the Rudd government made a hasty announcement that they may well come to regret - that they would bring back their twice-defeated emissions trading bill a third time as soon as Parliament resumed in February.
With the date swiftly approaching, blind Freddy could tell you that the opposition will not support the bills and the government is still making no attempt to negotiate amendments with the cross-bench. The whole exercise is looking like a fruitless, time-wasting political stunt.
This deadlock helps no-one. The community is denied action on the climate crisis, the business community is denied the investment certainty they crave, the government looks increasingly impotent and the opposition looks like spoilers.
There is a solution to this deadlock
Ask your questions on emissions trading
Blog Post | Blog of Christine Milne
Thursday 14th January 2010, 2:10pm
by TimHollo in
If you're not entirely sure of what the Greens stand for on emissions trading, we have a new detailed feature piece on our website here.
It sets out clearly what we want to see in an emissions trading scheme, how we have attempted over many months to negotiate with the government around their CPRS only to be rebuffed every time, and exactly why we cannot support the CPRS in its current form.
Undoubtedly, many of you will have more questions. This blog post is to give you space to ask those questions which we may not have answered effectively in the feature. We will do our best to answer as many of them as we can as effectively as we can.
Ask away!
Copenhagen raises the stakes - time for civil society to hold our leaders to account
Blog Post | Blog of Christine Milne
Saturday 19th December 2009, 11:53am
by ChristineMilne in
So, at last world leaders have agreed on something. They have agreed, essentially, that they lack the will to really do what it takes to prevent climate crisis.
They can all articulate the challenge that we face. They can all stand up and tell a room what they are doing. But almost no leader of a country of any size, with the brave exception of Brazil's Lula, is willing to stand up and offer to do more than they see as the absolute minimum they think they can get away with.
The superficial last-minute statement agreed late in the night gives us no substantive progress on any of the critical issues. It takes us no further, really, than the statements out of the G8 and G29 in recent months.
What it does do, in the context of the warnings from the UNFCCC and others, is highlight how weak the promises of action from the developed world really are. The targets on the table simply cannot deliver the 2C goal.
UNFCCC exposes Rudd's empty rhetoric
Blog Post | Blog of Christine Milne
Friday 18th December 2009, 10:51am
by ChristineMilne in
For all those who have been convinced by Prime Minister Rudd and Minister Wong's rhetoric that they are fighting for a 450ppm and 2C agreement at Copenhagen, and believe that that is a good start, a leak from the UN Secretariat over here exposes that claim for the fraud it is.
The leak, which can be downloaded here, concludes that, even with the highest pledges on the table from developed and developing countries, the world would be on a trajectory "that could lead to concentrations equal or above 550 ppm with the related temperature rise around 3C". That trajectory gives the planet essentially no real chance of avoiding the tipping points which would trigger runaway heating and climate catastrophe.
Perhaps now more people in the developed world will understand why the developing world is unprepared to be bullied by countries like Australia into signing their lives away - literally.
Strong bullying the vulnerable is not the way to a positive outcome in Copenhagen
Blog Post | Blog of Christine Milne
Thursday 17th December 2009, 10:31am
by ChristineMilne in
As the snow falls here in Copenhagen, so do the hopes of millions around the world.
We appear to be reaching a low point in the COP. As world leaders arrive and ministerial meetings start, the texts they are working on are a complete mess, filled with [brackets] and completely unresolved on key issues of targets and financing, let alone how to bring together the two streams in the process.
But any faith in leaders, that they will somehow rescue a positive conclusion from this mess, is misplaced. A positive outcome requires a positive attitude towards negotiation. All we have seen so far is a tragic return to the old order of the strong bullying the weak.
2+2=5? Copenhagen targets add up to 750 ppm
Blog Post | Blog of Christine Milne
Wednesday 16th December 2009, 9:25am
by ChristineMilne in
Here is the critical point to remember if a compromise agreement is somehow salvaged by the end of this week: the emission reduction commitments currently on the table add up to global atmospheric carbon concentrations of approximately 750 ppm. That means 4C average global temperature rise by the end of the century, agricultural wipeout, mass extinctions and almost certain runaway heating of the planet.
If Copenhagen produces another political statement that claims to be aimed at limiting warming to 2C and carbon concentrations of 450 ppm, citizens around the world should be in no doubt that they are being lied to by their leaders. This is a point that G77 representative, Lumumba Di Aping, has made overnight, telling ABC that "The message Kevin Rudd is giving to his people, his citizens, is a fabrication, it's fiction."
It is very telling, and deeply troubling, that the 30-45% emissions target range for developed countries that had been in the draft KP text yesterday has now been removed and replaced with an X. It seems negotiators would prefer to remove targets from the agreement than lift them to where they actually need to be.
Great recipe doing the rounds in Copenhagen
Blog Post | Blog of Christine Milne
Tuesday 15th December 2009, 11:01am
by TimHollo in
This great recipe is doing the rounds on postcards in Copenhagen:
Recipe for climate catastrophe
A simple recipe that requires very little effort and almost no clean up
1. Start with a small amount of emissions reduction ambition from developed countries.
2. Dilute with tons of REDD offsets, mix thoroughly in carbon markets.
3. Add wildly generous amounts of REDD+ offsets.
4. Stir until ambition disappears.
5. Sprinkle with LULUCF credits and creative accounting as needed.
6. Bake Earth at well beyond 2C mean temperature rise for the foreseeable future.
Serves billions of vulnerable people.
Where are we up to with draft texts in Copenhagen?
Blog Post | Blog of Christine Milne
Tuesday 15th December 2009, 10:53am
by ChristineMilne in
As we head into the final frantic days of Copenhagen, all the work has boiled down to draft negotiating texts for the two streams of negotiations - the Kyoto stream and the non-Kyoto stream (known as KP and LCA, or long-term cooperative action). The two streams were separated at the Montreal meeting, after the Kyoto Protocol came into force, as a way of keeping non-Kyoto countries in the tent, but, if there is to be agreement here, the streams must now be brought together in a way which will satisfy the competing interests of all the countries and negotiating blocs involved.
A thumbnail sketch would show the world divided into three general blocs with broadly aligned positions:
Monday in Copenhagen at 2.45pm.
Blog Post | Blog of Christine Milne
Tuesday 15th December 2009, 10:47am
by ChristineMilne in
Crisis in Copenhagen: Climate Talks Suspended
Tensions are rising as developing countries again walked out of the talks because there is no progress on the Kyoto Protocol discussions. Instead priority is being given to the Long term Co-operative Action track (known as LCA). Developing countries want the Kyoto Protocol to continue and they see the actions of the EU, USA and Australia in demanding simultaneous action from developing countries, as a move to dump the Kyoto Protocol. By prioritising the LCA track the President is seen as favouring the powerful developed countries. This is a very bad look for the Danish government and seriously undermines any likelihood of a "political" outcome, let alone a legally binding one.
Australia‘s Reputation at stake on land use
Talks in Copenhagen are going backwards on protection of forests and accounting from emissions from land use. It seems that negotiations at the level of officials are stalled and everything depends on the Ministers arriving this week.
Civil society speaks, and then is shut out
Blog Post | Blog of Christine Milne
Sunday 13th December 2009, 8:33pm
by ChristineMilne in
After days of no progress at the Bella Centre it was exciting and inspiring to be part of a crowd of 100,000 people rallying for a "real deal" in Copenhagen.
The Greens from all over the world had been told to go to a marshalling point outside the Danish Parliament at 12:30 pm with the march scheduled to start at 2pm. When we arrived, a sea of people, banners, flags, bicycles, rugged up children, prams, Chinese dragons, polar bears and giant snowmen were all assembled in front of the Parliament making it initially difficult to find Die Grunen (German Greens), Ecolo and other international Green party flags. The temperature was freezing, despite a brief appearance from the sunshine, and a trolley powered by a bicycle providing free hot chocolate to the crowd was very welcome.
